The US Dollar Index (DXY) is seeing traders getting a bit ahead of themselves with pressure building on a pivotal support level in the DXY. The 200-day Simple Moving Average at 103.73 is being snapped again, already the fifth time in three weeks. With the actual three main events still to take place, it looks like a few traders fear missing out and might get caught up on the wrong side of the trade with their prepositioning. 

The 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) near 103.88 got snapped on Tuesday, though it still needs a daily close above it to deliver a bullish signal. Should the US Dollar be able to cross above it, 104.60 is the next first target ahead. A firm step beyond there 105.88 comes into reach, the high from November 2023. Ultimately, 107.20 – the high of 2023 – could come back into scope. 

Looking down, the 200-day Simple Moving Average at 103.73 is being snapped again. Adding the element that it has not seen a daily close below it last week, it showcases its importance. The 200-day SMA should not let go that easily, so a small retreat back to that level could be more than granted. Ultimately, should it lose its force, prices could fall to 103.22, the 55-day SMA, before testing 103.00