Markets expect CTAs to continue covering shorts in Platinum markets this session, but the balance of risks for CTA positioning has now notably shifted to the downside, TDS senior commodity strategist Daniel Ghali notes.

Balance of risks for CTA positioning turns to the downside

“Barring continued strength in prices, we expect CTAs to return to the offer with large-scale selling activity expected over the coming week, even in a flat tape. And, a big downtape could spark massive CTA selling activity totaling up to -50% of the algos' max size.”

“While there are still some scenarios for the coming week that could result in continued buying activity from algorithmic trend followers, the set-up for flows is already pointing to extreme downside asymmetry.”