Not only did the US dollar make significant gains last night. At the same time, the euro lost more than the other G10 currencies, Commerzbank’s Head of FX and Commodity Research Ulrich Leuchtmann notes.

Euro suffers a blow amid Trump win

“This is no coincidence. The euro area is likely to suffer disproportionately from a restrictive US trade policy. Not only because of its direct exports to the US. Should the US not remain the ultimate sink of global trade flows (or only in terms of trade that are more favorable for the US than before), global trade as a whole may suffer. This will affect the export nations. And quite a few of them are in the euro area. Germany, for example.”

“Furthermore, if one believes that exports are an important growth driver for a number of euro zone economies, one must also assume that a restrictive US trade policy will cement Europe's growth disadvantage vis-à-vis the US. This, too, would be negative for EUR/USD in the long term.”