📈 Forex Strategy – ...จาก NORDFX Global

06 May 2025, 17:01 · Views 83

📈 Forex Strategy – Early May 2025 📉 Markets opened May with increased volatility as traders react to central bank shifts and fresh macro data. Here are key currencies to watch: 🇺🇸 USD – Weakening as Fed signals possible rate cuts. 🇪🇺 EUR – Stable but softening, ECB hinting at June cut. 🇯🇵 JPY – Strengthening fast amid likely FX intervention. 🇬🇧 GBP – Holding firm, BoE decision due 9 May. 🌏 Asia FX – TWD, KRW rising on capital inflows and trade optimism. 🚀 Stay sharp, trade smart. 👉 Open your NordFX account https://account.nordfx.com/acc... #Forex #Trading #MayStrategy #NordFX #CurrenciesToWatch #USD #JPY #EUR #GBP #AsiaFX

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NordFX Weekly Forex Forecast: After the Fed - Dollar, Gold and Oil into PCE Week The Fed just reset the playbook, and markets are still adjusting. Here's what matters this week. 👇 🏦 Fed: Kevin Warsh's first meeting as Chair held rates at 3.50-3.75%, but the dot plot flipped hawkish, with the 2026 median jumping to 3.8%. A hike by September or October is now firmly on the table. 💵 Dollar: DXY is near 100.8, its strongest level in about a year, gaining broadly. EUR/USD sits near 1.15-1.16, USD/JPY is testing the 160-161 zone where BoJ intervention risk rises. 💴 🥇 Gold: Slid to ~$4,150 last week (third straight weekly loss) as the hawkish Fed and stronger dollar weighed on demand. Goldman cut its year-end target to $4,900. It's since bounced to ~$4,190-4,200 on renewed US-Iran talk headlines. Stuck between Fed pressure and safe-haven bids. ⚖️ 🛢️ Oil: Brent near $80, WTI near $77-78. Crude dropped sharply on Strait of Hormuz reopening hopes, then bounced again after Friday's Geneva talks were cancelled and Monday brought reports of fresh progress. Headline-driven and choppy. 🌍 🇬🇧 Political wildcard: UK PM Starmer reportedly preparing an exit, with Andy Burnham tipped as successor. GBP/USD is trading defensively near 1.32-1.33. 🧩 📅 Next up: Thursday's PCE report, the Fed's favorite inflation gauge. A hot print cements the hawkish pivot; a soft one could spark a fast dollar unwind. 📊 Levels: DXY 99.8-101.5 | EUR/USD 1.145-1.165 | GBP/USD 1.31-1.335 | USD/JPY 158.5-161.5 | XAU/USD 4,100-4,250 | Brent 78-83 Trade smart and stay close to the calendar this week. 🚀 👉 Open your account with NordFX: https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis...

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Economic Calendar 15 - 19 June, 2026

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Economic Calendar 22-26 June 2026

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PCE and GDP Day: What Growth and Inflation Together Tell Forex Traders | NordFX Today the US drops two heavyweight reports back to back: the third estimate of Q1 2026 GDP and the May Personal Income and Outlays report, home to the Fed's favorite inflation gauge, PCE. 📊 GDP growth was already revised down to 1.6% annualized in the second estimate, from 2.0% at the advance reading, on weaker consumer spending and investment. Since consumption drives nearly 70% of GDP, today's number is a real time read on how stretched US households are. Inflation has been climbing, not cooling. April's PCE ran 3.8% year over year, core at 3.3%, both well above the Fed's 2% target. Economists expect May's print to push higher, toward roughly 4.1% headline, the hottest since 2023, driven largely by the oil shock from the Israel Iran war that began in late February. 🛢️ There is a silver lining: crude has dropped sharply this week, with WTI near $70 and Brent near $73.50, the lowest since the war started, as ceasefire talks edge forward, though still fragile, with flashpoints in Lebanon and around the Strait of Hormuz. A cooler May reading would ease pressure on the Fed. New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh held rates at 3.50% to 3.75% in his first meeting on June 17, a fourth straight hold, but dropped dovish forward guidance. Half the committee now sees a hike by year end, and futures markets price roughly 70% odds of one by September. 🏦 That tension is exactly why today matters for FX. A hot PCE plus solid GDP would push the dollar, already near a one year high, even further, with EUR/USD pinned near 1.136 and gold sliding toward $4,000. A cooler surprise could spark a relief rally in EUR, GBP and gold, especially with sterling already weak on UK political turmoil. Expect a volatile session either way. ⚡ Open your NordFX account: https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis... 🚀

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🟢 NordFX Morning Update – June 25, 2026 🌏 Asia: Tech roared back overnight after blowout Micron earnings and a bullish Qualcomm forecast eased AI-bubble fears. Nikkei 225 jumped 4.0%, Kospi surged 5.2%, led by SK Hynix (+11%) and Samsung (+5%). Hang Seng slipped 1.0% on profit-taking, ASX 200 -0.3% despite strong May jobs data (+40.3K, unemployment down to 4.4%). CSI 300 and Nifty 50 both opened higher. 💵 FX: Dollar near 13-month highs on growing Fed rate-hike bets. EUR/USD broke below 1.14, now around 1.135-1.14. USD/JPY sits near 161.7, close to a four-decade high. 🥇 Gold dipped under $4,000/oz overnight – a 7-month low – before steadying near $4,000-4,010 as the stronger dollar and hawkish Fed outlook weigh on bullion. 🛢 Oil: WTI ~$69, Brent ~$73, both near pre-war lows as Strait of Hormuz traffic keeps normalizing. 📊 Big data day ahead: US Final Q1 GDP, jobless claims, durable goods orders, and Core PCE (the Fed's key inflation gauge) all land at 8:30 AM ET today. Markets are pricing rising odds of a Fed hike later this year under new Chair Kevin Warsh – a sharp turn from earlier rate-cut talk. Stay sharp out there! 💪 #NordFX #Forex #Gold #Oil #MarketUpdate

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