🌅 Morning Update | ...จาก NORDFX Global

18 Jun 2025, 15:09 · Views 88

🌅 Morning Update | 18.06.2025 📈 US indices edge higher, recouping yesterday’s losses, even as oil 🛢️ stays firm above $76 amid ongoing Middle East tensions. European futures point to a positive open, but overall volatility in global equities remains moderate. 🇯🇵 Bank of Japan kept rates unchanged at 0.5%, as expected. Nikkei 225 futures jumped +1.5%, while USD/JPY slipped 0.2%. 📉 Gold dipped 0.05% to $3,386/oz, while bitcoin ₿ bounced back above $105.5k, recovering from yesterday’s fall to $103.9k. Crypto sentiment remains cautious, reflecting investor unease. 📰 The New York Times reports that Iran has prepared missiles and other military assets to strike US bases if Donald Trump escalates involvement. Meanwhile, VIX futures dropped 0.8%, hinting at slightly calmer market nerves. 💥 The main stress point today is oil, which has rebounded to its highest level since January. 📌 Key events to watch today: 🔹 US Jobless Claims Report at 12:30 PM GMT — figures above 250k could spark risk-off mood on Wall Street. 🔹 Fed Decision at 6 PM GMT and Jerome Powell’s press conference at 6:30 PM GMT — markets eye fresh clues on the policy outlook. #MorningUpdate #MarketNews #Forex #Crypto #Oil #Gold #Fed

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🌅 NordFX Morning Update – July 2, 2026 🌏 Asian Session Nikkei 225 closed at 70,475 (+0.59%), a third straight session of gains on AI and chip stock strength 📈. USD/JPY holds near 162.70 – still around a 40-year high – as the wide Fed–BoJ rate gap keeps carry trades alive. 💵 Forex EUR/USD ticks up near 1.1380 after Eurozone inflation cooled more than expected (2.8% y/y, core 2.4%) and Fed Chair Warsh sounded less hawkish overnight 🇪🇺. GBP/USD near 1.3290, edging higher in Asian trade. 🥇 Commodities Gold holds just below $4,050/oz, consolidating ahead of the big catalyst 🪙. Oil extends its slide – Brent near $73/bbl, WTI below $68, the lowest since late February – as Hormuz shipping normalizes and US–Iran talks progress ⛽. 📊 Today's Key Event US June Non-Farm Payrolls, 8:30 ET – forecast ~100K jobs, unemployment seen at 4.3% 🇺🇸. With Fed rate-hike odds near 90% per CME FedWatch, this print carries outsized weight. Expect sharp moves across majors and gold once it lands ⚡. Trade smart with NordFX 🚀

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NordFX Weekly Forex Forecast: After the Fed - Dollar, Gold and Oil into PCE Week The Fed just reset the playbook, and markets are still adjusting. Here's what matters this week. 👇 🏦 Fed: Kevin Warsh's first meeting as Chair held rates at 3.50-3.75%, but the dot plot flipped hawkish, with the 2026 median jumping to 3.8%. A hike by September or October is now firmly on the table. 💵 Dollar: DXY is near 100.8, its strongest level in about a year, gaining broadly. EUR/USD sits near 1.15-1.16, USD/JPY is testing the 160-161 zone where BoJ intervention risk rises. 💴 🥇 Gold: Slid to ~$4,150 last week (third straight weekly loss) as the hawkish Fed and stronger dollar weighed on demand. Goldman cut its year-end target to $4,900. It's since bounced to ~$4,190-4,200 on renewed US-Iran talk headlines. Stuck between Fed pressure and safe-haven bids. ⚖️ 🛢️ Oil: Brent near $80, WTI near $77-78. Crude dropped sharply on Strait of Hormuz reopening hopes, then bounced again after Friday's Geneva talks were cancelled and Monday brought reports of fresh progress. Headline-driven and choppy. 🌍 🇬🇧 Political wildcard: UK PM Starmer reportedly preparing an exit, with Andy Burnham tipped as successor. GBP/USD is trading defensively near 1.32-1.33. 🧩 📅 Next up: Thursday's PCE report, the Fed's favorite inflation gauge. A hot print cements the hawkish pivot; a soft one could spark a fast dollar unwind. 📊 Levels: DXY 99.8-101.5 | EUR/USD 1.145-1.165 | GBP/USD 1.31-1.335 | USD/JPY 158.5-161.5 | XAU/USD 4,100-4,250 | Brent 78-83 Trade smart and stay close to the calendar this week. 🚀 👉 Open your account with NordFX: https://my.nordfx.com/en/regis...

NORDFX Global

📊 NordFX Morning Update – July 8, 2026 🌏 Asian session: Nikkei 225 flat near 68,220 after Tuesday's 2.1% tech-driven slide. Kospi extends losses, down 2.9% to 7,435 on AI-valuation jitters. Greater China outperforms. 🛢️ Oil: Brent surges 2.6% to $76.09 after US strikes on Iran; WTI at $72.25. 💵 USD/JPY: Near 40-year highs at 162.43, yen still under pressure despite intervention warnings from Tokyo. 💶 EUR/USD: Steady around 1.1414 in quiet Asian trade. 🥇 Gold: Holding near $4,100, soft on firmer dollar and profit-taking. 🏦 Central banks: FOMC minutes due today; RBNZ decision also today, ~72% odds of a hike from 2.25%. ⚠️ Volatility elevated – geopolitical risk in focus.

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📊 NordFX Morning Update – July 7, 2026 🌏 Asian Markets: Kospi leads regional losses, down over 4% as Samsung (–5%+) and SK Hynix slide despite Samsung beating profit forecasts. Nikkei 225 off ~1.2% to 68,883. Shanghai Composite –0.6% to 4,017, Hang Seng holds up better, +0.4% to 23,708. ⚠️ Geopolitics: Iran's military reportedly struck commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz overnight, breaking a one-week truce – raising fresh risk to the US-Iran deal and lifting oil modestly. 💵 USD: Dollar stays soft after Friday's weak NFP (+57K vs 110K expected, unemployment 4.2%). Markets await Wednesday's FOMC minutes for clues on Chair Warsh's approach. 💴 USD/JPY: Slipped back below 162.00 on the Hormuz headlines and soft Fed-hike bets. 🥇 Gold: Eased back from a two-week high near $4,175–4,188 as investors await the FOMC minutes. 🛢️ Oil: Firming modestly on Hormuz tensions, though Saudi price cuts and an OPEC+ output hike keep a lid on gains. 📅 Today's focus: US ADP employment change, FOMC minutes Wednesday, Samsung's earnings follow-through, and any escalation in the Strait of Hormuz. ⚠️ Trade safe and manage your risk! 🚀

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🌅 NordFX Morning Update – July 9, 2026 🌏 Asian session: mixed but mostly upbeat. Japan's Nikkei 225 +1.88%, Kospi surged +3% on a chip-stock rebound, Hang Seng +0.16%, CSI 300 flat. ASX 200 –0.69% bucked the trend. 🛢️ Oil extended gains for a 2nd day as US–Iran tensions escalate – Brent and WTI both higher after fresh US strikes on Iran. 🥇 Gold slipped near $4,030–4,060, pressured by a firmer dollar and hawkish FOMC minutes – markets now price a bigger chance of a Fed hike later in 2026. 💵 USD: broadly firm on safe-haven flows and rate-hike bets. 💶 EUR/USD: holding near 1.14, capped by dollar strength ahead of the July 23 ECB decision. 📊 Today's focus: US initial jobless claims, ongoing Middle East headlines, and Fed rate-path speculation – expect elevated volatility across FX, oil and gold. ⚡ Stay sharp, trade smart – NordFX wishes you a profitable day!

NORDFX Global